Slouching with mixed success toward a semi-coherent framework
Don't take event data at its word
Where Alex Morgan, Christen Press and the CAPM meet
Leaving the numerator and going down below
Taking our projected player contribution abilities and combining them with opportunities to contribute to project actual contribution.
Adding back our own team effects into the target player projections
Analyzing the "Value Chain" to identify where club activities interact with player talent to affect results and contributions
Working through the first two layers of systematically projecting player contribution ability
Let's get Steps 3 & 4 started cuz they're hard as hell
A glance at the road map and some assorted "Absolute Unit" relevant thoughts on EPVs
Step 2: Use consensus soccer analytics insights to prime your soccer accounting records for safe use going forward into the unknown.
Enhance your soccer event data with an "expected possession value" model to breathe life into the raw accounting records